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Monetary Policy Analytics monitors global macroeconomic trends as well as emerging policy challenges and produces economic forecasts. We also provide commentary and updates to monetary policy changes. We also produce regular briefings and papers that analyze relevant and contemporary macroeconomic policy issues and challenges worldwide.
The last week has been turbulent concerning trade policy, with prospects for a “phase one” trade deal between the U.S. and China back to being
The minutes of the October 2019 FOMC meeting didn’t provide much additional insight into rates policy— either the decision at that meeting or future decisions—beyond
Powell testified before the Joint Economic Committee and the House Budget Committee last week. His remarks made clear that he was pleased with the results
The central message of the October 2019 FOMC meeting was that the economy continues to be in a good place and that now, after a
We expect the FOMC to cut the fund’s rate target by 25 basis points at this week’s meeting. As we wrote in our FOMC Briefing,
There’s been an improvement in the outlook concerning two key sources of risk, Brexit and U.S.-China tensions. However, we continue to see a 25-basis-point funds
The minutes for the September FOMC meeting came out on Wednesday (see our note). We interpreted the minutes as fully consistent with our call of
While the September jobs report was solid, some disappointing data released earlier last week pushed us to move up our call for the next rate
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