LEARNING FROM EXPERIENCE AND EXPERTISE
Monetary Policy Analytics monitors global macroeconomic trends as well as emerging policy challenges and produces economic forecasts. We also provide commentary and updates to monetary policy changes. We also produce regular briefings and papers that analyze relevant and contemporary macroeconomic policy issues and challenges worldwide.
We have written about the predictive performance of two financial variables (the yield curve slope and the gap between the fund’s rate and its estimated
The June jobs report was solid, easing fears that the highly disappointing May report reflected a discrete change in the direction of the labor market.
Today’s labor market report was much weaker than expected, notwithstanding the warning from the ADP report earlier this week. We had previously moved up our
The jobs report for February showed a sharp slowing in job gains but overall still indicates a strong labor market. There was a lot to
The employment report for November was somewhat soft, certainly inconsequential for the December rate decision but perhaps enough to warrant an adjustment to the characterization
We view this report as supporting our call of a December hike, with three more likely next year—though, admittedly, September 2019 is a long way
Would you like a preview of our newest commentaries? Simply click the button below to see some of our newest commentaries and request a free trial today.
Please fill out the form below for a trial of our services.